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Gold falls on Trump creating more confusion about tariffs

A mixed Nvidia outlook and an unclear tariffs schedule delivered by US President Trump are cause for concern. 


Gold faces strong selling pressure and trades down over 1% on Thursday. 


Although US yields are dropping off further,Trump crypto announcement today the precious metal has lost support for now. 


Gold’s price (XAU/USD) faces strong selling pressure and extends this week’s correction to hit a ten-day low near $2,880 at the time of writing on Thursday. The leg lower comes after United States (US) President Donald Trump cast doubts and confusion during a cabinet meeting on Wednesday about what levies will be applied, when and to which countries.  


President Trump said “tariffs will go on, not all, but a lot of them” and added that levies on Canada and Mexico imports will go into effect on April 2. Reciprocal tariffs should be installed on April 2 too. The US President confirmed a 25% tariff would be imposed on Europe as well on autos and other things but he did not provide further details. 


Daily digest market movers: March is just around the corner



  • Overnight markets braced for Nvidia’s (NVDA) earnings. Nvidia's quarterly sales will be about $43 billion, slightly above analysts' estimates, but gross profit margins will be tighter than expected due to the rollout of a new chip design called Blackwell. The mixed outlook came in with bad timing as concerns about slowing spending on AI and the potential impacts of US tariffs could mean more headwinds for the company.


  • The CME Fedwatch Tool projects a 33.0% chance that the interest rates will remain at the current range in June, with the rest showing a possible rate cut. 


  • On the US data front, the second reading of the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter is due at 13:30 GMT. Projections are that the GDP annualized will remain stable at 2.3%. The quarterly headline preliminary Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), which precedes the monthly PCE on Friday, is expected to continue stable  at 2.3% as well. The core PCE number should come in at 2.5%, also unchanged. 


Technical Analysis: Look for the stops


On Wednesday, a few analysts warned that greedy price action was taking place in Gold, with traders willing to buy at any given price to remain part of the rally. With the current correction, several traders will be facing a squeeze and might soon see their stop losses exercised. This idiosyncratic action will result in more selling pressure and might even see a firm drop lower in Bullion to possibly even $2,860 on the day. 


The main element to trigger a turnaround comes at the daily Pivot Point of $2,912. Should Gold fully recover back above that level, it would confirm that traders are buying the current dip. Once through there, $2,934 and $2,951 are levels on the upside to look out for in the form of the intraday R1 and R2 resistances. 


On the flip side, Tuesday’s low at $2,890 is starting to give way. Further down, watch out for $2,873 (the S2 support), which could open the door for a test to $2,860. 


XAU/USD: Daily Chart

XAU/USD: Daily Chart